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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2020-06-30 10:35:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 300835 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 Deep convection associated with the depression has waned since last night and is now limited to a small burst displaced more than 75 n mi northeast of the cyclone's low-level center. An ASCAT-B pass at 0517 UTC showed max winds of only 20-25 kt, so the intensity has been lowered to 25 kt. The cyclone is now located over 24 deg C waters and substantial redevelopment or organization of convection is unlikely. It is therefore forecast to become a remnant low later today. The remnant low should then spin down over the course of the next couple of days until it dissipates later this week. The depression has continued to move slowly northwestward, steered by a mid-level ridge to its east. Once the cyclone becomes a remnant low later today, weak low-level steering flow will likely cause the system to meander for a few days until it dissipates. The NHC forecast (both track and intensity) is mostly unchanged from the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0900Z 20.6N 113.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 30/1800Z 20.9N 113.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/0600Z 21.6N 114.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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