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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 7
2019-07-14 10:32:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Sun Jul 14 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 140832 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042019 300 AM MDT Sun Jul 14 2019 The depression has been devoid of significant convection since early Saturday evening. Even in the convective maximum period, the system has only been able to muster intermittent individual cells producing anvils that are being subsequently blown west of the circulation by about 20 kt of easterly shear. A recent scatterometer pass showed peak winds of around 25 kt in the northeastern quadrant, and this is the initial advisory intensity. The stable environment ahead of the cyclone is not conducive for its longevity and it will likely become a remnant low later today. The remnant low should dissipate within a couple of days. The motion continues west-northwestward, or 290/12 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should cause a turn toward the west later today or tonight. The official track forecast is essentially the same as the previous one. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0900Z 18.2N 114.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 14/1800Z 18.5N 116.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 15/0600Z 18.8N 118.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 15/1800Z 18.8N 120.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto/Cangialosi
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