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Tropical Depression Fred Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2021-08-12 16:56:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 12 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 121456 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 1500 UTC THU AUG 12 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 15(24) 4(28) 1(29) X(29) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 6(20) 1(21) X(21) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 13(24) 1(25) 1(26) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20(23) 2(25) 1(26) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 6(22) X(22) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 1(21) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 4(20) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 3(27) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 15(25) 2(27) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 3(24) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ANDROS 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GREAT EXUMA 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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