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Tropical Depression Gordon Public Advisory Number 20
2024-09-16 10:43:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Mon Sep 16 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 160843 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Gordon Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072024 500 AM AST Mon Sep 16 2024 ...GORDON MAINTAINING ITS STATUS AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 47.5W ABOUT 1020 MI...1645 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Gordon was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 47.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). A westward motion is expected during the next day or so, with Gordon forecast to slow down considerably through the middle of the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, though Gordon could become a post-tropical remnant low at any time. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Gordon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
2024-09-16 10:43:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 160843 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Gordon Forecast Advisory Number 20
2024-09-16 10:43:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 160843 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 47.5W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 47.5W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 47.2W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.1N 48.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.3N 49.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.6N 49.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.9N 49.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.7N 49.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.9N 48.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 24.6N 47.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 26.8N 46.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 47.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics