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Tropical Depression Grace Forecast Advisory Number 11
2021-08-16 04:41:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 16 2021 989 WTNT22 KNHC 160240 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 0300 UTC MON AUG 16 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GRACE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 68.6W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 68.6W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 68.1W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.7N 70.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.7N 72.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N 75.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.4N 78.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.2N 81.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.2N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 23.5N 89.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 24.5N 93.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 68.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 16/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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