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Tropical Depression INGRID Forecast Discussion Number 18
2013-09-16 22:47:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2013 000 WTNT45 KNHC 162047 TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 400 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2013 SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT INGRID CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON. THE ESTIMATED INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT BASED ON A FEW SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THAT HAVE SHOWN DECREASING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND SHOULD DISSIPATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY OVER THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS. SATELLITE DATA SUGGESTS THAT INGRID HAS FINALLY TURNED WESTWARD. A TURN TO THE WEST-SOUTHEST IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. INGRID AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS ACROSS EASTERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/2100Z 23.7N 99.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 17/0600Z 23.5N 100.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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