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Tropical Depression Ileana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2024-09-15 10:43:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 164 FOPZ14 KNHC 150843 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Depression Ileana (EP4/EP092024)
2024-09-15 10:43:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ILEANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER THIS MORNING... As of 2:00 AM MST Sun Sep 15 the center of Ileana was located near 25.5, -109.3 with movement WNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Ileana Public Advisory Number 12
2024-09-15 10:43:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 150843 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ileana Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 ...ILEANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.5N 109.3W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all coastal warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ileana was located near latitude 25.5 North, longitude 109.3 West. Ileana is moving toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected to begin later today and continue through early Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana will move over the Gulf of California near the coasts of northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Ileana is expected to become a remnant low later this morning. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ileana may bring an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall to portions of northwest Sinaloa through today. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Gusty winds are still possible along the coasts of northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora through this morning. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will continue to subside along the Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern Baja California Sur today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Berg
Category: Transportation and Logistics