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Tropical Depression JAVIER Public Advisory Number 10
2016-08-09 16:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 091433 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 900 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 ...JAVIER EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SOON... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.8N 111.2W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Javier was located near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 111.2 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center will continue to move near or over the southern Baja California peninsula for the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Javier is likely to become a remnant low by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and northwest Mexico through Thursday morning, with maximum amounts of up to 8 inches possible. Moisture partially related to Javier has spread into Arizona and New Mexico, where 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of up to 8 inches, are possible through Thursday. The expected rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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