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Tropical Depression KARINA Forecast Discussion Number 53
2014-08-26 04:33:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 260233 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 53 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 800 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2014 The upper-level outflow from Hurricane Marie continues to strongly shear Karina, though a persistent area of deep convection continues in the western quadrant of the cyclone. The initial intensity remains 30 kt as a blend of satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB. Due to the ongoing shear, Karina is expected to degenerate into a remnant low in about 12 hours, and then be absorbed into the much larger Marie in 24-36 hours. The initial motion is 095/4. A general east-southeastward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected until the cyclone is absorbed. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 17.2N 127.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 16.9N 126.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/0000Z 16.4N 125.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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