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Tropical Depression KARL Forecast Advisory Number 30
2016-09-21 22:42:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 21 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 212042 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC WED SEP 21 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KARL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 58.7W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 58.7W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 58.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.3N 60.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.9N 63.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.5N 64.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.2N 65.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.5N 61.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 36.6N 51.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 44.5N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 58.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER GALLINA/BERG
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