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Tropical Depression Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2018-09-24 10:32:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 24 2018 473 FONT12 KNHC 240832 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 0900 UTC MON SEP 24 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 2(14) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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