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Tropical Depression Lorena Forecast Discussion Number 20
2019-09-22 10:56:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 220856 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Lorena Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152019 300 AM MDT Sun Sep 22 2019 Very little convection remains with Lorena, with only a small burst near the center. Strong southwesterly shear continues to weaken Lorena, and ASCAT data indicate the maximum winds are down to 30 kt. All watches and warnings have been discontinued on this advisory. Lorena is forecast to move northward across northwestern Mexico later this morning and rapidly dissipate within 24 hours over the high terrain. There are no significant changes to the track or intensity forecasts. Key Messages: 1. Lorena may produce dangerous flash flooding in Sonora today. Moisture associated with Lorena may also result in locally heavy rain over parts of Arizona early in the week. There is a slight Risk of excessive rainfall over central Arizona on Monday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 28.3N 111.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 22/1800Z 29.7N 111.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart/Blake
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