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Tropical Depression Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2017-07-21 22:46:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 212046 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 10N 105W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 45(52) 14(66) 4(70) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 14(36) 2(38) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) 1(18) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 5(20) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 4(21) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 2(17) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) 1(16) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 10N 100W 34 X 21(21) 40(61) 3(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) 10N 100W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 10N 100W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 8(21) 3(24) X(24) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) 1(12) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 10N 95W 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 12(31) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 13(25) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 19(35) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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