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Tropical Depression Nineteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

2024-11-14 09:51:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 729 FONT14 KNHC 140848 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0900 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 6(14) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 9(25) 6(31) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 5(20) 3(23) GUANAJA 34 X 6( 6) 25(31) 14(45) 21(66) 3(69) 1(70) GUANAJA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 10(22) 2(24) 1(25) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) S SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) TEGUCIGALPA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER HAGEN


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Tropical Depression Nineteen Graphics

2024-11-14 09:50:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 14 Nov 2024 08:50:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 14 Nov 2024 08:50:04 GMT


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Summary for Tropical Depression Nineteen (AT4/AL192024)

2024-11-14 09:47:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE BECOMES TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED IN HONDURAS LATER THIS WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND... As of 4:00 AM EST Thu Nov 14 the center of Nineteen was located near 15.9, -81.7 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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