je.st
news
Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Forecast Discussion Number 3
2014-09-12 04:50:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 120250 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162014 800 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2014 Earlier microwave imagery indicated that the low-level center of the depression was located near the northern edge of the deep convection. The convection itself is not all that organized, and the cloud tops have recently been warming. The system remains a 30-kt depression based on Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB. The vertical shear affecting the cyclone is expected to increase out of the east during the next 12-24 hours, which should prevent strengthening during the next couple of days. The depression is likely to become absorbed by the larger circulation of Tropical Storm Odile, and the NHC forecast continues to show dissipation by day 3. The initial motion is northward, or 360/5 kt. Low clouds to the east of the depression are already being pulled eastward into Odile's circulation, and the depression is also likely to be pulled northeastward and eastward during the next 24 hours. The available track models are showing a faster eastward motion on this cycle, and the updated NHC forecast is adjusted eastward near the multi-model consensus TVCE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/0300Z 16.6N 120.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 12/1200Z 16.8N 119.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 13/0000Z 16.7N 118.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 13/1200Z 16.1N 116.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 14/0000Z 15.3N 114.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Latest from this category |
All news |
||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||