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Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

2018-08-28 18:03:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 28 2018 314 WTPZ21 KNHC 281602 CCA TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 1500 UTC TUE AUG 28 2018 CORRECTED TO ADD 34-KT WIND RADII FOR 12-HOUR FORECAST THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 111.8W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 111.8W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 111.4W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N 112.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.4N 114.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.8N 116.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.9N 118.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.5N 121.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 111.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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