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Tropical Depression TWELVE Forecast Advisory Number 4
2016-09-15 10:32:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 150831 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 0900 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 29.3W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 29.3W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 28.7W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.8N 31.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 33.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.9N 36.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.6N 39.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.7N 43.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N 53.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 29.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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