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Tropical Depression TWELVE Forecast Advisory Number 5
2016-09-15 16:35:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 151435 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.4W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.4W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 29.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.8N 32.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.9N 34.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.7N 37.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.4N 40.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.5N 45.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.7N 50.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.5N 55.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 30.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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