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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2015-11-18 16:54:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1600 UTC WED NOV 18 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 181554 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 1600 UTC WED NOV 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 107.2W AT 18/1600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 107.2W AT 18/1600Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 107.2W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 13.3N 107.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.8N 107.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.8N 108.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.8N 110.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.4N 113.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.1N 114.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 107.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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