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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2015-11-19 03:34:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU NOV 19 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 190234 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 0300 UTC THU NOV 19 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.1W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.1W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.7N 106.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.6N 108.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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