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Tropical Depression Ten-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2024-09-22 22:50:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2024 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 222050 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 100W 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ACAPULCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P MALDONADO 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) P ANGEL 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 14(27) 9(36) 1(37) X(37) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P ANGEL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) 15N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 28(44) 1(45) X(45) 15N 95W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) 15N 95W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SALINA CRUZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102024)
2024-09-22 22:50:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM CST Sun Sep 22 the center of Ten-E was located near 13.8, -98.7 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 1
2024-09-22 22:50:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM CST Sun Sep 22 2024 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 222050 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 300 PM CST Sun Sep 22 2024 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 98.7W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the southern coast of Mexico from Punta Maldonado to Salina Cruz. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Punta Maldonado to Salina Cruz For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 98.7 West. The depression is nearly stationary, but a slow northeastward motion is expected to begin later tonight and Monday. A northeastward to east-northeastward motion is anticipated on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the system is forecast to move near the southern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. Satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days while the center of the system remains over water. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP5.shtml RAINFALL: Through Thursday, the depression is expected to produce 6 to 12 inches of rain with isolated totals around 15 inches across the coastal areas of Chiapas. In areas along and near the Oaxaca coast, between 10 and 20 inches of rain can be expected through Thursday, with localized higher amounts near 30 inches. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within portions of the watch area beginning on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics