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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Discussion Number 5

2020-08-01 22:34:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 012034 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Ten Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 800 PM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 The depression is barely a tropical cyclone. Most of the deep convection from the burst earlier in the day has now dissipated and the circulation appears to be losing definition. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt based on the ASCAT data from several hours ago. Since the cyclone is over cool waters and in a dry environment, significant deep convection is unlikely to return. Therefore, the depression will likely become a remnant low tonight and open into a trough shortly thereafter. The weak and shallow system has turned to the left recently, with the latest initial motion estimated to be 305/11 kt. A general west-northwest motion is expected until the system dissipates a couple of hundred miles north of the northern-most Cabo Verde Islands tonight or on Sunday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/2100Z 19.2N 23.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 02/0600Z 19.9N 25.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi [ more ]

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