Home Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Forecast Discussion Number 1
 

Keywords :   


Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Forecast Discussion Number 1

2024-11-01 21:53:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri Nov 01 2024 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 012053 CCA TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Discussion Number 1...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 200 PM PDT Fri Nov 01 2024 Correct storm to cyclone in the second paragraph The area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has continued to become better organized this afternoon. An ASCAT pass early this morning indicated a well-defined circulation, and deep convection near the center has persisted throughout the day. A subjective Dvorak estimate from TAFB at 18Z was T2.5, and objective satellite intensity estimates suggest that the winds have increased to near 30 kt. Based on these data, advisories are initiated on Tropical Depression Thirteen, with an initial intensity of 30 kt. The initial motion of this tropical cyclone is westward at 270/6 kt. The depression is expected to continue on a generally westward trajectory during the next day or two as it is steered by a broad mid-level ridge to the north of the system. The track guidance is in good agreement for the next several days, and the official forecast track represents a blend of the HCCA and TVCN consensus models. The depression is expected to be a short-lived system. The intensity forecast indicates that the depression will remain below tropical storm status through the weekend, though a low-end tropical storm cannot be ruled out. By late this weekend, vertical wind shear is expected to increase significantly, and the system is expected to dissipate into a remnant low after about two days. The NHC intensity forecast is in the middle of the guidance envelope and is similar to the IVCN consensus model. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/2100Z 11.2N 128.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 02/0600Z 11.2N 129.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 02/1800Z 11.2N 130.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 03/0600Z 11.3N 131.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 03/1800Z 11.3N 133.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 04/0600Z 11.3N 135.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Hogsett


Category:Transportation and Logistics

Latest from this category

All news

11.12Daimler Trucks North America Recognizes 29 Masters of Quality
11.12Daimler Trucks North America Celebrates Recent Successes at the Mid-America Trucking Show
11.12California Cartage Company and the Ports of Long Beach Los Angeles Just Got 232 New Trucks "Greener"
11.12Sterling Presents 2008 Harley-Davidson Sportster to Sterling Bullet Work Hard Play Hard Sweepstakes Winner
11.12Sterling Trucks Focuses On Fuel Economy With The Introduction of Eaton Fuller UltraShift HV Transmission
11.12Trailer Options
11.12Roller & Other Special Floors
11.12Refrigeration / Reefer Equipment
Transportation and Logistics »
24.12CASNR highlights educational pathways
24.12Dollars don't kill screwworms
24.12New study: Beef helps close nutrient gaps at key life stages
23.12Unicharm Achieves ISO 14001 Certification in Brazil
23.12Cattle supplies in focus heading into the new year
23.12How does salt intake impact beef cattle on low-quality forages?
23.12Excel Color Launches New Logo, Remodeled Website
23.12House passes Beagle Brigade Act
More »