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Tropical Depression Thirteen Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-08-20 04:51:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 20 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 200250 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 0300 UTC THU AUG 20 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THOSE AREAS ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 47.9W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 47.9W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 47.3W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.1N 50.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.4N 54.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.4N 58.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.1N 62.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.9N 65.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.8N 69.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.9N 76.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 26.2N 82.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 47.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 20/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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