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Tropical Depression Thirty-One Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2020-11-13 16:09:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 131509 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTY-ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020 1500 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTY-ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 11(28) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 12(25) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 27(40) 9(49) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 7(28) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 5(16) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 15(42) 2(44) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) 1(21) PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 20(26) 6(32) X(32) SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) 1(11) SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) LIMON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) COLON 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 1(15) MONTEGO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) KINGSTON 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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