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Tropical Depression Twelve Forecast Advisory Number 1
2021-08-31 22:34:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 31 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 312034 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021 2100 UTC TUE AUG 31 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 21.1W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 0 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 21.1W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 20.2W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.6N 23.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.0N 27.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.1N 30.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 12.5N 33.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.3N 36.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.3N 39.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 90SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 16.5N 43.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N 47.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 21.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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