Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020
000
FONT15 KNHC 022034
PWSAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252020
2100 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11)
COZUMEL MX 34 4 30(34) 4(38) 2(40) 1(41) 1(42) 1(43)
COZUMEL MX 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
COZUMEL MX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14)
HAVANA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH