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Tropical Depression Twenty-two Forecast Advisory Number 1

2020-09-18 00:59:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2300 UTC THU SEP 17 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 172259 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 2300 UTC THU SEP 17 2020 INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 94.3W AT 17/2300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 94.3W AT 17/2300Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 94.4W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.7N 94.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.8N 93.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.8N 93.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.4N 92.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.8N 93.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.1N 93.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 26.1N 95.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 25.6N 96.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 94.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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