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Tropical Depression Two Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2024-06-28 22:33:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 28 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 282033 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC FRI JUN 28 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) PT GALLINAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) CURACAO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) CURACAO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 24(32) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 25(42) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 11(29) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 2(23) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 3(21) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 1(19) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 6(21) X(21) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 25(40) X(40) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 7(35) X(35) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 4(26) X(26) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 5(56) 1(57) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 4(27) 1(28) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 57(57) 8(65) X(65) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 5(33) X(33) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 60(61) 1(62) X(62) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 1(31) X(31) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 8(50) X(50) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 5(26) X(26) GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 2(38) 1(39) TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) TRINIDADTOBAGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) PORT OF SPAIN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) 1(20) JUANGRIEGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) JUANGRIEGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-28 19:26:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281726 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 28 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-28 19:24:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 281723 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): An area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea associated with a tropical wave continues to produce widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this disturbance is not expected today while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The disturbance is forecast move westward over the Yucatan Peninsula and emerge over the Bay of Campeche late Saturday or early Sunday, at which point some development will be possible. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the tropical wave will affect portions of Central America and Mexico through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95): A low pressure system located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is becoming better defined and the associated showers and thunderstorms are increasing in organization. If these trends continue, a tropical depression will likely form later today. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and approach the Windward Islands by the end of the weekend, and Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches could be required for portions of that region tonight or early Saturday. For more information, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible next week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/D. Zelinsky
Category: Transportation and Logistics