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Tropical Storm Arthur Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2020-05-17 04:53:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN MAY 17 2020 545 FONT11 KNHC 170253 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012020 0300 UTC SUN MAY 17 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 2(13) X(13) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 2( 2) 26(28) 9(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 4( 4) 21(25) 2(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 3( 3) 17(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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