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Tropical Storm BERTHA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2014-08-01 10:47:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 010847 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 0900 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 8(28) X(28) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 2(25) X(25) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 1(37) X(37) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) X(21) X(21) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PONCE 34 X X( X) 28(28) 22(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) PONCE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PONCE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) 24(24) 17(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 32(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BARBUDA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANTIGUA 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GUADELOUPE 34 X 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) AVES 34 X 27(27) 24(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) AVES 50 X 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AVES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DOMINICA 34 1 55(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) DOMINICA 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MARTINIQUE 34 2 55(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) MARTINIQUE 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 1 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BARBADOS 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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