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Tropical Storm BERTHA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2014-08-02 10:50:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 02 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 020850 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 0900 UTC SAT AUG 02 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 1(20) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) 9(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GRAND TURK 34 X 8( 8) 48(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 23(23) 7(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) PUERTO PLATA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) PONCE 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) PONCE 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN JUAN 34 52 X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) SAINT THOMAS 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SAINT CROIX 34 56 X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) AVES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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