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Tropical Storm CARLOS Public Advisory Number 11
2015-06-13 10:34:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 130834 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 400 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015 ...CARLOS REFUSES TO MOVE MUCH... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 100.2W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Acapulco to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36-48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Carlos. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 100.2 West. Carlos is moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h), and this general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next day or two, and Carlos could become a hurricane on Sunday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Saturday night or Sunday. RAINFALL: Locally heavy rains are beginning to spread over portions of the southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca and Guerrero, and will continue to affect these areas during the next couple of days. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will affect the coast of southern Mexico during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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