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Tropical Storm COLIN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2016-06-05 22:53:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUN 05 2016 000 FONT13 KNHC 052053 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016 2100 UTC SUN JUN 05 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 2(28) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 1(18) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) X(22) X(22) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 11(11) 20(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 19(19) 16(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 43(44) 6(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 39(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 42(43) 6(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 45(46) 5(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 2( 2) 47(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 23(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) THE VILLAGES 34 X 2( 2) 29(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) VENICE FL 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) TAMPA FL 34 X 5( 5) 17(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 5( 5) 45(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 3( 3) 27(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST MARKS FL 34 X 4( 4) 36(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 X 10(10) 28(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 26(26) 28(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 7( 7) 11(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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