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Tropical Storm Cristobal Public Advisory Number 6A
2020-06-03 07:47:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Wed Jun 03 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 030547 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 100 AM CDT Wed Jun 03 2020 ...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE IT CREEPS SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAIN AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 92.1W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 145 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 92.1 West. Cristobal is moving toward the southeast near 2 mph (4 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue this morning, followed by turn toward the east this afternoon. A motion toward the north-northeast and north is expected on Thursday and Friday. On the forecast track, the center will cross the southern Bay of Campeche coast later today. and move inland over eastern Mexico tonight and Thursday. The center is forecast to move back over the Bay of Campeche Thursday night and Friday. Nearby surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional increase in strength is possible until the center crosses the coast. Gradual weakening is forecast while the center remains inland, but restrengthening is expected after Cristobal moves back over water Thursday night and Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface observations is 994 mb (29.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco and Campeche. Cristobal is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Chiapas, Veracruz, Quintana Roo, Yucatan and Oaxaca. Additional rainfall of 10 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of 25 inches, is expected along the Pacific coasts of Chiapas, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Some of these Pacific locations received 20 inches of rain over the weekend, and storm total amounts of 35 inches are possible. Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of 10 inches, is expected across portions of Honduras and Belize. Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within portions of the warning area. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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