je.st
news
Tropical Storm DOUGLAS Forecast Discussion Number 17
2014-07-02 22:36:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 022036 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 200 PM PDT WED JUL 02 2014 Convection associated with Douglas is quickly losing its organization. In addition, a 1758 UTC ASCAT-B pass indicated that the maximum winds have decreased slightly, and the initial intensity is set at 35 kt for this advisory. Visible satellite images show that dry and stable air continues to infiltrate into Douglas's circulation, and along with decreasing sea surface temperatures, will contribute to additional weakening during the next couple of days. Douglas is now forecast to become a tropical depression in 12 hours and degenerate into a remnant low by 36 hours. Douglas is creeping north-northwestward with an initial motion of 330/2 kt. However, the cyclone is expected to turn back to the northwest later tonight and eventually accelerate to the west-northwest by 48 hours when mid-level ridging builds over the western United States. Low-level ridging is forecast to steer the remnant low west-northwestward to westward between days 3 and 5. The track guidance is tightly clustered on this advisory cycle, and no significant changes were required to the NHC track forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/2100Z 20.0N 116.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 03/0600Z 20.2N 116.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 03/1800Z 20.6N 116.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 04/0600Z 21.0N 117.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/1800Z 21.5N 118.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 05/1800Z 22.8N 121.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 06/1800Z 24.0N 125.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 07/1800Z 24.0N 128.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
discussion
storm
douglas
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Latest from this category |
All news |
||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||