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Tropical Storm Dolores Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2021-06-18 16:49:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 18 2021 384 FOPZ14 KNHC 181449 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042021 1500 UTC FRI JUN 18 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 29(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 34(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 105W 34 2 10(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 44(45) 7(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MANZANILLO 34 X 8( 8) 51(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 15(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 1 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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