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Tropical Storm ELIDA Forecast Advisory Number 6

2014-07-01 22:35:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 012035 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 2100 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 103.9W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 103.9W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 104.0W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 103.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 103.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.9N 104.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.0N 104.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.0N 106.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 17.0N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 103.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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