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Tropical Storm ELIDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2014-06-30 16:45:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUN 30 2014 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 301444 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 1500 UTC MON JUN 30 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) P VALLARTA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 14 16(30) 7(37) 4(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 34 21 14(35) 6(41) 3(44) 2(46) 1(47) X(47) MANZANILLO 50 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) L CARDENAS 34 12 2(14) 4(18) 3(21) 2(23) X(23) 1(24) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ACAPULCO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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