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Tropical Storm Elida Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2020-08-10 10:37:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 10 2020 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 100837 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092020 0900 UTC MON AUG 10 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 110W 34 22 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ISLA SOCORRO 34 70 18(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) ISLA SOCORRO 50 18 14(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) ISLA SOCORRO 64 6 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ISLA CLARION 34 X 6( 6) 11(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 115W 34 X 23(23) 63(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) 20N 115W 50 X 3( 3) 52(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 25N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 11(31) X(31) X(31) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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