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Tropical Storm Enrique Public Advisory Number 15
2021-06-28 22:50:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 282050 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Enrique Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 300 PM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021 ...ENRIQUE WEAKENING QUICKLY AS IT PULLS NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST MEXICAN COASTLINE... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 107.3W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WNW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta Mita to Playa Perula Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico * Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 107.3 West. Enrique is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this motion is expected continue for the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique will continue to move away from the southwestern coast of Mexico tonight. Enrique is then expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast over the next few days, but Enrique could still be a tropical storm as it approaches the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula by Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of the Tropical Storm Warning for the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area along the southwestern coast of Mexico through early evening and in the watch area over the southeast portion of the Baja California Peninsula by Wednesday. RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal sections of Jalisco in western Mexico. These amounts may produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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