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Tropical Storm Erick Forecast Advisory Number 9
2019-07-29 16:56:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 291456 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062019 1500 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 136.9W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 136.9W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 136.0W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.0N 139.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.6N 141.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.3N 144.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.0N 146.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.0N 150.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 16.8N 155.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.5N 159.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 136.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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