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Tropical Storm Erick Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2019-07-29 22:32:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 292031 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062019 2100 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 10N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 145W 34 X 6( 6) 78(84) 7(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) 15N 145W 50 X 1( 1) 54(55) 10(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) 30(30) 13(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 60(72) 2(74) X(74) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) 2(37) X(37) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 2(21) X(21) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 22(48) 1(49) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) X(16) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) 3(36) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 5(28) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15(29) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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