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Tropical Storm Erick Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2019-07-29 04:48:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 073 FOPZ11 KNHC 290248 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062019 0300 UTC MON JUL 29 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 140W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 140W 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) 4(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 49(83) X(83) X(83) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 44(51) X(51) X(51) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) X(33) X(33) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 37(64) 1(65) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 1(31) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 5(32) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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