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Tropical Storm Eta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38

2020-11-09 21:49:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON NOV 09 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 092049 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC MON NOV 09 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15) KEY WEST FL 34 1 5( 6) 8(14) 3(17) 1(18) 2(20) X(20) NAPLES FL 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 4(19) 2(21) 2(23) FT MYERS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) VENICE FL 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 8(18) 6(24) 3(27) 2(29) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 7(19) 3(22) 1(23) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) 3(19) 2(21) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 5(21) 3(24) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 15(25) 4(29) 3(32) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 5(17) 3(20) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 11(16) 5(21) 1(22) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 2(13) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) COZUMEL MX 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 14 23(37) 7(44) 1(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HAVANA 34 2 9(11) 8(19) 1(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) ISLE OF PINES 34 1 5( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 2(13) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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