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Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 7
2020-07-11 04:31:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 110231 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 1100 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020 ...FAY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES INTO NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.0N 74.2W ABOUT 15 MI...30 KM NW OF NEW YORK CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued south and west of East Rockaway, New York. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East Rockaway New York to Watch Hill Rhode Island including most of Long Island and Long Island Sound A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 41.0 North, longitude 74.2 West. Fay is moving toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h). A northward to north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected tonight and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Fay will move across portions of southeastern New York tonight, then across western New England into southeastern Canada on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as Fay moves farther inland, and the system is expected to become a post- tropical low on Saturday and dissipate on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) over water to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure from surface observations is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Fay can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. RAINFALL: Fay is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maxima of 4 inches along and near its track from eastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey across southeast New York, and portions of New England. This rain may result in flash flooding and urban flooding in areas with poor drainage where the heaviest amounts occur. Widespread river flooding is not expected at this time; however, rapid rises on small streams and isolated minor flooding is possible. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area for the next several hours. STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. Forecaster Beven
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