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Tropical Storm Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 62
2018-09-14 22:39:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018 975 FONT11 KNHC 142039 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 62 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 2100 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DANVILLE VA 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) RALEIGH NC 34 10 3(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ROCKY MT NC 34 9 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FAYETTEVILLE 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLOTTE NC 34 7 9(16) 6(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FLORENCE SC 34 70 16(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) FLORENCE SC 50 23 14(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) FLORENCE SC 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) COLUMBIA SC 34 15 26(41) 6(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) COLUMBIA SC 50 1 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 64 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 47 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) GEORGETOWN SC 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 34 14(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) CHARLESTON SC 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 7 8(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ATLANTA GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 4 7(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SAVANNAH GA 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KINGS BAY GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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