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Tropical Storm Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 63
2018-09-15 04:42:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018 004 FONT11 KNHC 150241 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 63 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 0300 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 4 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) RALEIGH NC 34 7 1( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ROCKY MT NC 34 5 X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLOTTE NC 34 6 7(13) 11(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FLORENCE SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FLORENCE SC 50 22 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) FLORENCE SC 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) COLUMBIA SC 34 23 24(47) 9(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) COLUMBIA SC 50 1 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COLUMBIA SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LITTLE RIVER 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 48 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) MYRTLE BEACH 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 6 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 16 8(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) ATLANTA GA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 5 8(13) 8(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAVANNAH GA 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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