je.st
news
Tropical Storm Francine Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
2024-09-12 04:51:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Thu, 12 Sep 2024 02:51:08 GMT
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Tropical Storm Francine Forecast Discussion Number 14
2024-09-12 04:48:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024 798 WTNT41 KNHC 120248 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Francine Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062024 1000 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024 Francine made landfall in Terrebonne Parish in southern Louisiana around 5 pm CDT (2200 UTC) as a Category 2 hurricane. Maximum winds at landfall were estimated to be around 85 kt based on data collected by the Air Force Hurricane Hunters. Since then, Francine has been rapidly weakening, and the maximum winds are now estimated to be near 60 kt, making it a tropical storm. The convective pattern has become quite asymmetric with nearly all of the heavy rains confined to the north of the center. Some of the heaviest rainfall and tropical-storm-force winds are occurring in metropolitan New Orleans, where there have been gusts to near 60 kt. The storm continues to move northeastward at a relatively quick 14 kt. However, a slow down is expected as the system weakens and merges with a mid- to upper-level trough to its northwest, which could cause flooding over portions of the southern U.S. As Francine continues inland, the storm will spin down and likely become a tropical depression by late Thursday and a post-tropical cyclone Thursday night or early Friday. An experimental cone graphic that includes inland Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings in the U.S. is now available on the NHC website. Due to the time needed to compile the inland watch and warning information, the experimental cone graphic will not be available as quickly as the operational cone. Once it is available, the experimental cone graphic can be found from a red weblink above the operational cone graphic at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?cone#contents. Users are encouraged to take the experimental product survey found below the experimental cone. KEY MESSAGES: 1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge during the next several hours for portions of the Louisiana and Mississippi coastlines, where a Storm Surge Warning remains in effect. Residents in the warning area should continue to follow advice given by local officials. 2. Damaging winds are expected to continue in portions of southern Louisiana overnight. Remain in a safe location until conditions improve. 3. Francine is expected to bring heavy rainfall and the risk of considerable flash and urban flooding, along with river flooding, across southeastern Louisiana, Mississippi, far southern Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle through Thursday night. Flash and urban flooding is probable across the Lower Tennessee Valley and Lower Mississippi Valley into Friday morning. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/0300Z 30.2N 90.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 12H 12/1200Z 32.0N 89.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 24H 13/0000Z 34.4N 89.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 36H 13/1200Z 35.4N 90.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 14/0000Z 35.9N 90.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Francine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2024-09-12 04:48:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 12 2024 262 FONT11 KNHC 120247 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062024 0300 UTC THU SEP 12 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MOBILE AL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) STENNIS MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) STENNIS MS 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSON MS 34 12 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOUMA LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOUMA LA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOUMA LA 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BATON ROUGE LA 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) MORGAN CITY LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MORGAN CITY LA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category: Transportation and Logistics