je.st
news
Tropical Storm GEORGETTE Forecast Discussion Number 23
2016-07-27 10:37:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT WED JUL 27 2016 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 270837 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016 200 AM PDT WED JUL 27 2016 Georgette is on borrowed time. Enhanced IR imagery shows no deep convection associated with the system, and if this condition persists, the cyclone will be declared a remnant low later today. The official forecast delays this event slightly, to allow for the possibility that thunderstorms may redevelop in the circulation. A scatterometer overpass indicated that the maximum winds were 35 kt, and that these tropical-storm-force winds were confined to the northeastern quadrant of the system. A continued spin down of the circulation over cooler waters is forecast and the cyclone should dissipate in 2-3 days. The center is difficult to locate on night time images, but my best estimate of initial motion is 310/5 kt. Georgette, or its remnant low, should move on a west-northwestward to westward heading, within the low-level tradewinds, until dissipation. The official track forecast is a blend of the latest GFS and ECMWF predictions. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/0900Z 19.1N 129.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 27/1800Z 19.8N 130.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 28/0600Z 20.6N 132.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 28/1800Z 21.2N 134.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 29/0600Z 21.2N 136.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Latest from this category |
All news |
||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||